Annie 所长|10月 29, 2026 08:16
Tonight at 8:30 PM, the final battle to decide the Fed's fate arrives, with an 85% probability of an interest rate hike!
Q3 GDP preliminary reading + September PCE + Initial Jobless Claims will all be released simultaneously:
1. Core PCE: Expected monthly rate of 0.3% (last month 0.2%), annual rate of 3.1% (last month 3.0%).
2. GDP: Annualized quarter-on-quarter growth of 3.2% (Q2 2.2%). Additionally, September CPI was already relatively high (0.6% month-on-month, 3.7% year-on-year), so we were prepared.
3. Initial Jobless Claims: Expected 198,000-199,000, previous value 194,000. A figure below 190,000 would increase pressure, while above 210,000 would ease it.
No bad news is good news!
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