Elon Musk and Tesla's 2025 compensation bet is divided into several categories: market cap, cumulative deliveries, active FSD, Robotaxi commercialization, Optimus deliveries, and adjusted EBITDA. Among them, the market cap is split into 12 tiers, ranging from a minimum of $2 trillion to $8.5 trillion. And then... Musk hasn’t completed a single one. The progress on the worst-performing categories is basically zero, and even the closest market cap bet is still 38% short... So, Big Mouth Musk hasn’t earned a single penny yet