The latest two paths for the subsequent price trend of Bitcoin are deduced as follows, for reference only: Path 1 (red line): A bearish dip with a probability of about 50-55%, which is currently the most natural trend of energy depletion. Characteristics: ETF inflows continue to shrink, volume cannot be amplified, prices are unable to rebound, and after repeated weak fluctuations in the 78000-80000 range, they test the support of 75000-78000 downwards. Operation core: Give up waiting for a significant rebound. When there is a stagflation signal in the 79500-80500 area, you can start laying out short positions in the middle line of the light position layout. If the price drops directly to the support zone of 78000, short positions can partially take profits and observe the strength of support. Path 2 (yellow line): Double tops attract more, with a probability of about 35-40%. This is the "money giving" path! Feature: After obtaining support in the 78000-79000 range, the price rebounds upwards with the help of a short-term positive, such as lower than expected CPI data, which stimulates and forms a second top in the 82000-84000 range, completing the ultimate long short transition. Operation core: First top (79500-80500) light warehouse empty test; The second top (82000-84000) is the "gold opening area", where heavy positions are launched after a bearish signal appears. The time for the Federal Reserve to release CPI data is 20:30 Beijing time on Tuesday, May 13th. Market expectation: April CPI month on month+0.3%, year-on-year+2.4%; The core CPI increased by 0.3% month on month and 2.8% year-on-year. If the actual data is higher than expected, it will strengthen the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve and be detrimental to risk assets; If it is lower than expected, it will be a short-term bullish trend. I personally predict that the CPI data is likely to be skewed towards eagles, which is in line with the current market's general expectations.