𝗡𝗲𝗴𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗰|Jan 28, 2026 07:25
The S&P 500 just printed a new all-time high.Russell 2000 looks primed for continuation.Emerging markets have confirmed a breakout.
Taken together, this is one of the clearest broad risk-on regimes we’ve seen in this cycle.
Gold and silver have absorbed liquidity that would typically flow into higher-beta risk assets, a dynamic that, in our view, is delaying rather than resolving the underlying adjustment.
Since October 10, roughly 50% of market makers in the space have exited, and the resulting liquidity unwind has artificially extended the current bear phase.
That leaves two dominant scenarios for Bitcoin:
1) BTC has been front-running global markets, implying a sharp downside repricing across equities and commodities is imminent.
2) BTC is lagging the macro regime, implying a significant upside repricing to converge with fair value, currently estimated near $116,000.(𝗡𝗲𝗴𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗰)
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