The Kobeissi Letter|Nov 15, 2026 21:28
US hiring is showing no signs of a recovery.
New job postings on Indeed fell -4.8% YoY in the week ending October 16th.
Since April 2022, new job postings have now declined -46.7%.
As a result, the number of new available vacancies in the US is -0.8% below pre-pandemic levels recorded in February 2020.
Over the last several months, the pace of decline has slowed, but there have been no signs of a rebound in hiring either.
This suggests a lack of a significant recovery in official BLS job openings data, which lags job postings data by a few weeks.
The US labor market remains weak beneath the surface.
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