Three US aircraft carriers will converge on the Middle East tomorrow; is Trump about to launch a major offensive against Iran? According to the New York Times, citing US military officials, the USS Theodore Roosevelt is expected to arrive in the Arabian Sea on Monday, joining the already deployed USS George H.W. Bush and USS George Washington. This will create a three-carrier deployment posture in the Middle East. The most ironic thing is that while the carriers are arriving, Trump seems to be backing out. Reuters reported on the same day that Trump told senior advisors that he might postpone a military strike against Iran if Iran and the Houthis cease their provocations. The Saudi Crown Prince and the Turkish President both urged him not to attack in phone calls. He neither promised nor refused. Consider this scenario: three aircraft carriers, dozens of warships, and 50,000 US troops are pressing on the border, representing the largest naval deployment since the 2003 Iraq War. Then the president says, "If they don't provoke me, I won't attack." Iran hasn't been idle either. On Sunday, Iranian drones again attacked Bahrain, the second time in three days. On Friday, the US military intercepted two drones heading towards Bahrain, shattering the two-month ceasefire agreement. Therefore, the current situation is: aircraft carriers are bargaining chips, not triggers. Trump is using the physical presence of three aircraft carriers to force Iran to make concessions at the negotiating table. Meanwhile, Iran, by triggering landmines with drones and oil tankers, is telling Washington: I'm not afraid of your aircraft carriers; I'm afraid of you not giving me a way out. The gathering of three aircraft carriers is not a prelude to war, but rather the culmination of maximum pressure. But after this culmination, either the other side will back down, or an accidental clash will occur. Every drone in the Strait of Hormuz is gambling that Trump won't actually attack. The US and Iran are on the brink of renewed war!