Hupzy (manekora)|Nov 15, 2026 14:32
🚨 US Social Security posted a record -$𝟮𝟮𝟭𝗕 deficit in FY2026 as trust fund reserves fell to $𝟮.𝟭𝟴𝗧 — the lowest since 2007.
Benefit costs hit an all-time high of $1.5T against $1.3T in income, widening the gap $39B year-over-year. Reserves are down $640B from the 2017 peak, putting the program on a depletion trajectory without legislative action.
𝗛𝘂𝗽𝘇𝘆 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲: Accelerating fiscal deterioration adds structural supply pressure on long-end Treasuries — higher yields tighten the discount-rate channel that compresses non-yielding risk assets. A record deficit with a direct rate channel is a macro headwind for BTC, especially with an already-hawkish Fed under Chair Warsh.
source: KobeissiLetter
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