星球日报|Nov 13, 2026 13:11
[Polymarket's probability of the US 5-year Treasury yield reaching 5.15% before 2027 rises to 40%, a 30% increase in 24 hours] PPP forecast market monitoring shows that Polymarket's probability of the US 5-year Treasury yield reaching 5.15% before 2027 has risen to 40%, a 30% increase in 24 hours.
If the US 5-year Treasury yield reaches or exceeds the specified value on any day between the market's creation date and December 31, 2026, the event will be settled as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be settled as "No".
Once the US 5-year Treasury yield reaches or exceeds the specified value, the event will settle immediately; if it does not, it will settle after the data is released on December 31, 2026. If no matching data is available by 11:59 PM ET on January 14, 2027, and data as of December 31, 2026 is still unavailable, the event settlement will be "No".
Settlement will be based on the Daily Treasury Yield Curve data published by the U.S. Treasury Department, specifically the "5 Yr" (5-year) column.
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