Following Jensen Huang's resignation, Nvidia's stock price briefly fell to $149 in pre-market trading, but has since been pulled back to $170.75 by bargain hunters. This nearly 15% rebound in just a few hours has led OKX to predict a market question: Will Nvidia close above $179 on November 13th? My assessment is: It's unlikely. This is because $149 was a panic selling price, and the $170 level was primarily driven by retail investors buying on the dip and short covering, not by the disappearance of risks related to the CEO's departure, succession, and investigation. More importantly, Nvidia's official closing price yesterday was $166.19. To close above $179, it would need to rise approximately 7.7% today; however, the upper limit of normal volatility given by the options market is only around $174. $179 already exceeds market expectations. Meanwhile, Nasdaq futures are weak, US Treasury yields are rising, and the Q3 earnings report, which will truly impact valuations, won't be available until November 17th. Therefore, my probability estimates are: Closing price above $179: 15% Closing price below $179: 85% Today's real gamble isn't on Nvidia's fundamentals, but on whether bargain hunters can turn a panic rally into a one-day short squeeze. My choice: Not above $179.