Jensen Huang's daughter is ranked first among the candidates for the new CEO, which seems pretty good But don't be too quick to celebrate her; this "first place" is a bit ridiculous. In the prediction market, Huang Minshan does indeed rank first among the candidates for Nvidia's next CEO with a 12% probability. It seems impressive. But look at who's right behind her: Lisa Su, 7%; CFO Colette Kress, 7%. A senior director in charge of marketing physical AI products has a probability only 5 percentage points higher than the head of AMD. This isn't a "significant lead" at all; it's just grabbing the top spot from a pool of marginal candidates. The more disheartening truth is in another betting market. The real big money isn't betting on her at all. Ian Barker, Nvidia's Vice President of Data Center Business and the core creator of the CUDA platform, is the real frontrunner, with a probability as high as 30%-40%. CFO Kress also consistently holds a 20% or higher percentage. Meanwhile, Huang Minshan's percentage in those rankings is a paltry 1%-2%. Why is this? Huang Minshan only joined Nvidia as an intern in 2020. Her experience is limited, primarily focused on marketing and ecosystem development. She has no experience managing Nvidia's core chip R&D and computing power businesses. Letting her succeed Huang Renxun at this crucial moment, leading a four trillion dollar chip empire? This doesn't align with the board's interests. However, this 12% ranking reveals a brutally honest capitalist logic: If the board succumbs to political pressure and forcibly removes Huang Renxun, and cannot find a strongman internally to persuade all sides, will Huang Minshan's name be used as a "family symbol" or a "transitional puppet"? This 12% probability isn't a gamble on her business acumen, but rather on the board's compromise with the "Huang Renxun" name when they have no other options. In an interview, Jensen Huang said, "I hope to remain CEO of Nvidia for the next 20 years. As for whether my daughter can handle the CEO position, that depends on her abilities and capabilities." Now, Huang is being manipulated and attacked by American politicians, and he most likely loses his CEO position. His daughter, too, is unlikely to be up to the task! The Nvidia empire he built may be forced to relinquish! Tragedy, tragic! Jensen Huang, go to China!