Hupzy (manekora)|11月 11, 2026 19:45
Consumer unemployment expectations hit 𝟰𝟱.𝟯% — the 𝟯𝗿𝗱-𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝘀𝘁 reading on record and the highest since April 2020. The metric climbed 1.5pp in October alone and is up 11.3pp since January, with deterioration broad-based across age and income groups.
𝗛𝘂𝗽𝘇𝘆 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲: Record-level labor-market pessimism feeds a dual cross-asset channel: weak consumer spending expectations pressure corporate earnings (bearish for SP500), while building the case for Fed rate cuts (dovish for BTC via the discount-rate channel). The opposing pulls create a fluctuating setup — watch whether the next jobs report confirms the survey signal with hard data, which would sharpen the directional read toward risk-off.
source: KobeissiLetter
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