貝格先生🐢|11月 11, 2026 03:38
"BTC Cycle Thermometer": Back in the Green Discount Zone
On June 30th of this year, I shared the second bottoming signal of this cycle:
The AVIV Heatmap entered the blue zone (https://((((((((((x.com))))))))))/market_beggar/status/2071773101898223809).
Subsequently, BTC experienced a surge in late August,
and the indicator immediately moved into the neutral yellow zone, where it remained for 80 days.
Now, it's back...
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The indicator in the attached chart is the AVIV Heatmap. Here's a recap of the core concepts:
➡️ AVIV Heatmap is a model I designed.
➡️ AVIV can be viewed as the "profit multiple of active chips," an optimized version of MVRV.
➡️ AVIV Heatmap utilizes the mean reversion characteristic of AVIV.
➡️ The concept originates from the Cointime Economic methodology (proposed by Ark and Glassnode).
For a detailed explanation of the indicator, please refer to the following link:
https://(((((((((x.com))))))))))/market_beggar/status/1942759255385465186
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As shown in the attached chart: Over 50 consecutive days of decline have caused the AVIV Heatmap... The market has unusually returned to a "green" state , breaking the previous 80-day streak of a neutral yellow state ().
As a cyclical thermometer, while the AVIV Heatmap cannot directly and precisely pinpoint the bottom price,
its five color-coded levels effectively help us identify different market phases,
and among them, "green ()" and "blue ()" are undoubtedly "cheap zones."
"The Cambrian Phase of the Market": The Second Cyclical Bottom Signal Appears
https://(((((((((x.com))))))))))/market_beggar/status/2071773101898223809
If you missed the brief blue window that appeared on June 30th,
BTC has now returned to the cost-effective green zone.
Combined with recent signs, including:
➡️ A potential large-scale Higher Low is about to form (see the quote below)
➡️ The mystical power of the Taiwan National Security Fund (https://((((((((((x.com))))))))))/market_beggar/status/2119608070838128723)
➡️ A healthy and solid chip structure (https://((((((((((x.com))))))))))/market_beggar/status/2118520824772923876)
From a cyclical trading perspective, this current "green" sign might be a valuable entry point you should seriously consider.
The initial consolidation phase of a bull market is often painful; only by having a well-planned trading strategy can you calmly navigate these challenging periods.
Once you get through them, a vast and promising future awaits.
"492 Days of Tribulation": A Review of the Devilish Slaughter of the Early Bull Market in 2023
https://(((((((((x.com))))))))))/market_beggar/status/2104390699865223595
That's all for today. Hope it helps!
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Related Reading Resources
"Confirmation of the Early Bull Market": We May Be Experiencing a Once-in-a-Few-Years Position-Building Window
https://(((((((((x.com))))))))))/market_beggar/status/2117070496714146209
"2023" "A catalyst for a double-kill scenario?" Maintain the original trading plan.
https://(((((((((x.com))))))))))/market_beggar/status/2115993542132928548
"Those who bought BTC above 100,000 back then"
https://(((((((((x.com))))))))))/market_beggar/status/2111999826246394306
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