金十数据|Nov 10, 2026 22:15
[The probability of a 50 basis point rate hike by the Fed in December is 11.5%] According to CME's "FedWatch" on November 10th, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in December is 0%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 88.5%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate hike is 11.5%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged until January next year is 0% (11.8% yesterday), the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 33.6% (66.9% yesterday), the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate hike is 59.2% (21.3% yesterday), and the cumulative probability of a 75 basis point rate hike is 7.1% (0% yesterday).
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