小龙先生|11月 10, 2026 11:58
《Three-Dimensional Trading System | BTC Evening Market Analysis (3/3): Structural Pattern and Core Judgment》
73,500 is the first truly effective support level, and 75,000 is the ceiling for a rebound. After a narrow range of fluctuation, it is highly likely to continue to fall and test the bottom.
Currently, the price is fluctuating narrowly between 73,500 and 75K. Once a bearish attack occurs, the price will break through 73,500 and directly see around 71,100. Further down, 68,000 is the 200-week moving average, a long-term deep value zone.
International Situation: Oil prices are falling, but the AI problem remains unresolved.
Brent crude fell to $91.58, and WTI fell 1%. Cooling oil prices are good for inflation, but CoreWeave's CDS is still at 1155 basis points, and the AI credit risk has not been eliminated.
Trump said he "has no intention of escalating the war with Iran," but after his crushing defeat in the midterm elections, his cabinet may need a reshuffle, and policy uncertainty remains.
Key Analysis:
Bottoming out, not a reversal. After a period of narrow-range consolidation, the BTC price is expected to continue its downward trend. Whales are supporting the price from below, while ETFs are selling at higher levels.
Tonight's CPI data at 9:30 PM is the real directional catalyst. A core monthly rate exceeding 0.2% will strengthen expectations of a December rate hike, and the 73,500 level is unlikely to hold, with a potential downside target of 71,100.
Only a moderate CPI and BlackRock's intervention could allow for a rebound to around 76K.
The 200-week moving average between 68K and 70K is the true long-term support level.
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