Tonight at 9:30 PM, the US October CPI will be released—another CPI night. In the past 108 CPI nights, Bitcoin's price fluctuation in the hour following the release was "1.7 times" of the usual range; in 2022, a year of interest rate hikes, it jumped to "4.6 times". Since 2022, there have been 57 instances of CPI data releases, which can be categorized into three types based on the reaction of 2-year US Treasury yields on the day of release: **19 instances:** Weak CPI data, inflation declining: 16 increases within one hour, median +1.2%, worst drop only 0.3%. **18 instances:** Strong CPI data, inflation rising: 18 increases, only 6 increases, median -0.8%, worst drop -5.7% within one hour. **20 instances:** Generally in line with expectations, with a fluctuation of only 0.9%, half rising and half falling. Whenever the data deviates from expectations, regardless of whether it's weak or strong, the one-hour fluctuation is over 2%, more than double that of when it meets expectations. Tonight's expected CPI: +0.3% month-on-month, core CPI +0.2%. The Fed just raised rates again in September, and the market is betting on an "80% or higher" chance of another rate hike in December. Whether it's weak, strong, or just right, we'll find out at 9:30 PM. What's your opinion? CPI, Fed rate hike, BTC, AiCoin