金色财经|11月 09, 2026 16:24
[New York Fed: US Inflation Expectations Remain Stable, Unemployment Concerns Rise to Six-and-a-Half-Year High] According to Jinse Finance, on November 10th, the New York Fed's October consumer expectations survey showed that US consumers' one-year, three-year, and five-year inflation expectations remained at 3.9%, 3.3%, and 3.0%, respectively. Job market expectations were mixed. The average expected probability of an increase in the unemployment rate over the next year rose to 45.3%, the highest since April 2020; the probability of unemployment over the next year rose to 13.9%. However, the expected probability of finding a job after unemployment rose to 46.5%, the highest since November 2025. Regarding household finances, the expected probability of being unable to repay the minimum amount of debt in the next three months rose to 13.8%, the highest since December 2025; household income growth expectations fell to 3.0%, and consumer spending growth expectations fell to 5.3%.
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