Prediction Markets Bet on Jensen Huang's Future: Polymarket's Probability of Resignation This Year Drops from Nearly 50% to About 15% According to data from the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of "Jensen Huang announcing his resignation or being dismissed before December 31st" once approached 50% after the extramarital affair scandal broke. After Nvidia's board announced an independent investigation and stated that Huang would continue to serve as CEO during the investigation, this probability quickly dropped to around 10%, and is currently around 15%. On another prediction market, Kalshi, traders are even more pessimistic about the long-term outcome: the probability of "Jensen Huang stepping down as CEO before July 2027" is about 59%, however, this market has a trading volume of only about $12,700, indicating very low liquidity.