The Kobeissi Letter|Nov 08, 2026 16:30
History says last week's drop was a buying opportunity.
On Thursday, the S&P 500 declined -4.4%, its largest daily drop since April 2025.
Before that day, the index recorded 56 one-day declines of at least -4.0% since 1952.
Following such drops, the S&P 500 has gained +1.0% on average over the next week.
By comparison, its average weekly return across all periods has been +0.2%.
Over the next month, the index has averaged a gain of +2.0%, compared with +0.8% across all periods.
Over the following 3 months, the S&P 500 has averaged +6.7%, more than triple the historical average of +2.2%.
History suggests the market is set for a meaningful rebound.
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