水博乱乱|Nov 06, 2026 14:16
Today's plan: Half of the intraday position from the SFP entry model (Figure 1) based on yesterday's low is still available... This is still today's intraday position. If it continues to test the 75k level today, it will be a buy signal. Let's continue to see if there are any new opportunities for absorption and reversal below...
The swing trading is still based on the color bands (Figure 2). I added back some of the TP portion above, but didn't add it all... The reason is still as mentioned yesterday: the order book isn't particularly thick right now, only the yellow-green threshold...
Overall, shorting at this level isn't cost-effective, and bulls should also be cautious today...
After the non-farm payrolls data, the market's probability of a December rate hike increased by 8%. After yesterday's sharp drop, the market had already lowered its expectations for a December rate hike... believing that the FOMC wouldn't further fuel the fire...
But today's employment data... expectations have returned...
For these large AI companies that are constantly burning through cash for financing, only interest rate cuts can improve their operations... Maintaining such high interest rates is not a good thing for their already unsustainable expenses...
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