上海米哥(蓝V回关)
上海米哥(蓝V回关)|Nov 05, 2026 13:33
The Republicans lost both houses of Congress this time, is the crypto world finished? Most people think so, but I think the opposite—though not entirely in the same direction. First, the correct part: the crypto world is no longer just a Republican issue. In this election, crypto enthusiasts spent $176 million, with one organization campaigning for 32 incumbent members of Congress—19 Republicans and 13 Democrats. The criterion was simple: they supported legislation regulating the crypto world; and they had over $67 million in hand, waiting to spend it in 2028. What does this mean? Both parties now dare not offend the crypto world; they have to appease it. The days of "whoever wins will destroy the crypto world" are over. But the statement "the Democrats won, the bill will be easier to pass" has been slapped in the face by reality three times. The first slap: the biggest piece of the pie was already in the hands of the Republicans when they were in power. The bill regulating stablecoins was signed into law last July, and even the implementation details were finalized this October. The claim that "the legislation will fail if the Republicans lose" was unfounded from the start. The second blow: The real stumbling block wasn't due to the election, but to a lack of trust. In the September Senate vote, it went 49-50, with no Democrats in favor. Leading the opposition was Warren Buffett—who has always disliked the cryptocurrency world. The argument was that the Trump family earned $140 million from cryptocurrencies last year, and the new regulations wouldn't cover them; also, stablecoins offer interest, which banks objected to. The Republicans amended 126 points, making significant concessions, but didn't gain a single Democratic vote. This isn't about who's in power, it's about trust in the president. The third blow, and the most unexpected: The Democrats won, holding more cards, making the bill even more difficult to pass. Warren is likely to become the lead legislator for banking legislation, which analysts call "the worst possible outcome for the cryptocurrency world." Moreover, the bill requires Trump's signature to pass, and if he signs it, half the credit goes to him. To say it's "thanks to the Democrats" is wishful thinking. The Democrats' more cunning plan is to save the "Trump family making money from crypto" narrative as a weapon in 2028. Therefore, the more likely scenario isn't "the bill passes," but rather "they won't punish you, but they won't help you either": the same pro-crypto officials will still be in charge, trading will continue as usual, and that major bill will remain a bargaining chip. No regression, no progress—this is good news for the crypto world, but don't expect any legislative green light. To add a dose of reality: crypto money couldn't stop a Democratic landslide victory; Brown won by simply saying "we can't let crypto billionaires decide the election." The market didn't cooperate either—when the Democrats had the best chance of winning, Bitcoin briefly fell below $76,000. Crypto money and votes have weight, but not that much. The conclusion is simple: the Republicans losing both houses doesn't mean the end of the crypto world—that's true; nor does it mean the bill will pass faster—that's false. The reality is that the crypto world has gone from being a "Republican's darling" to a "hot commodity fought over by both parties," and the next two years will be a protracted battle. Keep an eye on four things: whether Warren will become the head of banking legislation; whether anyone will revive the bill before the new Congress convenes (those who voted against it initially may have left themselves an option to bring it up again later); whether the Democrats will introduce rules that can truly control the Trump family; and which crypto organization will support whom in 2028. Until these things are settled, it's best to hold off on the "best opportunity" for now.
+5
Mentioned
Share To

Timeline

HotFlash

APP

X

Telegram

Facebook

Reddit

CopyLink

Hot Reads