陈桂林
陈桂林|11月 04, 2026 23:57
I. The Boomerang Some viewpoints and decisions often require time to verify their correctness. So, I know you're in a hurry, but please don't. Being in a hurry doesn't look good; it looks like you're about to lose money. Only composure and calmness are the hallmarks of making money. It must be said that time has proven my worth, and it has also proven the worth of my followers. You could say that those who consistently follow Guilin on this Simplified Chinese platform are definitely a highly educated group. If they can even deduce Guilin's tactics and strategies from his articles, then they are truly masters among masters. Second, still no champagne, but it's not too far off. Let's not boast, just state the facts. My 100% clear view on this recent period is as follows (in chronological order): 1. At the end of July, I bought into storage stocks. It was clear that storage was just a rebound, not a reversal, and it would fall again after the rebound. My focus was absolutely back on my core business (let's skip that, July is too far away, let's go straight to September, since long-time followers know I bought at the bottom of the cryptocurrency market). 2. In late September, it was clear that the cryptocurrency market might be entering a high-difficulty mode (unexpectedly, the cryptocurrency market itself isn't difficult at all; the difficult part is other markets outside of cryptocurrency). The corresponding strategy was to hold the spot position and withstand the pullback, while stopping the flexible position to prevent further losses. I made two clever maneuvers to control the spot pullback, which was only slightly higher than Bitcoin's. 3. In late October, believing the correction might be nearing its end (the "vague correctness" refers to a timeframe and range, not a single point), I posted that I should focus on observing several things: ① The decline in oil prices (clearly, oil prices were going to fall) ② The midterm elections (clearly, who won doesn't matter, the important thing is that it's over) ③ The APEC meeting (not yet started) These are all gradually being confirmed. After comprehensive observation, the clear conclusion is: the cryptocurrency market is still the most worthwhile market to invest time, energy, and money in at this stage. First, I avoided gold, silver, and oil; then I clearly avoided semiconductors; and finally, my capital size didn't allow me to touch big tech (Google). As for the UAE stock market, it was never within my trading scope anyway. (This was a strategic choice.) Think about it, the overall market has been bad for over a month. As long as you avoid gold, silver, and oil, as long as you avoid semiconductors, as long as you stay in the cryptocurrency market, even though you're also experiencing drawdowns, how much less money have you lost? How much less energy have you wasted? To answer a question, why didn't I short? I'm currently trading within a large-scale upward trend that started at 57. In this large-scale upward trend, I won't trade on smaller pullbacks; the effort and psychological gamble involved are simply not proportional to the returns. Could I profit from shorting? I believe it's definitely possible. However, if making such a small profit negatively impacts my overall medium-term strategy, it will definitely be a net loss—a classic case of being penny-wise and pound-foolish. Third, what's next? The cryptocurrency market's movement has validated my prediction: at this stage, the cryptocurrency market remains relatively strong compared to other global markets. This is irrelevant to everything else; it's just a cycle. If it's going to be bearish, it will be. Overall, it follows the broader market environment (Nasdaq, S&P 500, US stocks), but it shows relative strength in certain sectors. No need to look at the medium term; if I weren't bullish, I would have already sold my spot holdings. In the short term, the key is whether it can break through 81500, how it breaks through, and how it retraces afterward. If all of these meet expectations, then this could be the start of the next major upward wave. Currently, it looks very strong. Still an E-guard. ethereum:native
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