[81.5% Probability of Fed Rate Hike in December] According to Jinse Finance on November 5th, CME's "FedWatch" indicates that the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in December is 18.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 81.5%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged until January next year is 14.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 67.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 18.7%.