小龙先生|Nov 04, 2026 12:59
《Three-Dimensional Trading System | BTC Evening Market Analysis (3/3): Structural Pattern and Core Judgment》
76 is the bottom line and lifeline for this phase; 78,500-79,000 is the ceiling for the rebound.
Volume and trading volume are lagging, ETF institutions are still experiencing net outflows, and the structure remains bearish.
Bitcoin is still consolidating in a narrow range between 76K and 79K in the short term. A head and shoulders reversal structure is brewing on the daily chart.
Core Judgment:
The midterm election results show the Democrats sweeping both houses of Congress, and Trump "accepts defeat but refuses to admit it."
Gold and BTC rebounded in tandem, but this is a sentiment correction after the "blue wave" subsided, not a trend reversal.
Tonight at 21:30, the US October non-farm payrolls will be released, the last key variable of the week.
If the non-farm payrolls data exceeds expectations, the rebound may be short-lived; only if it falls short of expectations will there be a chance to test 79K.
The macroeconomic fundamentals have not improved at all, so the probability of further declines and bottoming out is higher.
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