财经悟空
财经悟空|Nov 04, 2026 03:10
After the large-volume sell-off in BTC, it's now consolidating at low levels with decreasing volume, indicating a wait-and-see approach for both bulls and bears. There's no clear reversal signal yet, and further downside is waiting for stop-loss orders to be triggered on long positions. The real opportunity to go long isn't now, but rather after a break below the previous low followed by a rapid recovery. Currently, there are two possible scenarios: 1. A false break below 74900, followed by a B-wave rebound. 2. A break below 76270 to clear stop-loss orders, followed by a recovery and then a rebound. We currently lean towards scenario 1. The funding rate is still rising and hasn't turned negative, indicating that bargain hunters haven't exited, and a large-scale rebound isn't imminent. A true bottom often requires a negative funding rate plus a large bullish daily candle. Short-term focus is on one action: Break below 74900 followed by a recovery → Short-term long position. Long entry points: 74900 / 74200. Set a strict stop-loss at 73500. Which scenario do you currently favor?
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