律动BlockBeats|Nov 04, 2026 01:44
[Predict.fun: Probability of Democrats Sweeping Both Houses in US Midterm Elections Rises to 99%] According to BlockBeats, on November 4th, the latest data from the prediction market platform Predict.fun shows that the probability of the Democrats winning both the Senate and the House of Representatives in the US midterm elections has risen to 99%. The probability of Republicans retaining the Senate and Democrats winning the House is 1%. The probability of Republicans retaining both houses is 0.1%; the probability of Democrats winning the Senate and Republicans retaining the House is 1%.
As of 7 PM Eastern Time on November 3rd, voting in the US midterm elections continued. Polling stations in Georgia, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia, and Indiana had all closed, and voting had ended. In addition, voting in some House districts in Florida had also ended, and voting in the rest of the state would end at 8 PM Eastern Time that day. As polling stations in various states gradually close, vote counting in the relevant districts will also gradually begin. [Original Link]
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