律动BlockBeats|Nov 04, 2026 01:03
[Predict.fun: Probability of Democrats Sweeping Both Houses in US Midterm Elections Rises to 92%] According to BlockBeats, on November 4th, the latest data from the prediction market platform Predict.fun shows that the probability of the Democrats winning both the Senate and the House of Representatives in the US midterm elections has risen to 92%. The probability of Republicans retaining the Senate and Democrats winning the House is 9%, considered the second most likely outcome by the market. The probability of Republicans retaining both houses is 1%; the probability of Democrats winning the Senate and Republicans retaining the House is 1%.
As of 7 PM Eastern Time on November 3rd, voting in the US midterm elections continued. Polling stations in Georgia, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia, and Indiana had all closed, and voting had ended. In addition, voting in some House districts in Florida had also ended, with voting in the remaining areas of the state ending at 8 PM Eastern Time on the same day. As polling stations close in various states, vote counting will gradually begin in the relevant districts.
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