[The probability of a Fed rate hike in December is approximately 79%] According to Jinse Finance, on November 4th, CME's "FedWatch" showed that the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in December was 21.1%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike was 78.9%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged until January next year was 15.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike was 63.0%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike was 21.8%.