金色财经|Nov 03, 2026 21:00
[Prediction Markets Bet on Democrats Winning Both Houses of Congress in Midterm Elections] According to a report by Jinse Finance on November 4th, The Block reported that as of early afternoon on November 3rd (Eastern Time), Polymarket users predicted a 76% probability of Democrats winning the Senate and a 94% probability of winning the House of Representatives, while Kalshi predicted corresponding probabilities of 75% and 94%. The midterm elections will elect all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the Senate. The report stated that if Democrats control Congress, Democrats such as Elizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown could dominate key committees regulating the digital asset industry. In the Ohio Senate election, Kalshi users predicted a 71% probability of cryptocurrency critic Brown defeating incumbent Senator Jon Husted.
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