[Predict.fun: 77% Probability of Democrats Sweeping Both Houses in US Midterm Elections] BlockBeats reports on November 3rd that the latest data from the prediction market platform Predict.fun shows a 77% probability of Democrats winning both the Senate and the House of Representatives in the US midterm elections. Mainstream polls also favor the Democrats: Silver Bulletin's national congressional polls up to November 2nd show Democrats leading Republicans by an average of 8.9 percentage points; Seldon's prediction model gives Democrats a 79% probability of winning the Senate and a 99% probability of winning the House. The probability of Republicans retaining the Senate and Democrats winning the House is 19%, considered the second most likely outcome by the market. The Polling Forecast model points out that polls have overestimated the Democrats in 5 out of the past 6 elections. If this poll also overestimates the Democrats by 3.5 percentage points, the Senate will remain under Republican control. The probability of Republicans retaining both the Senate and the House is 5%; the probability of Democrats winning the Senate and Republicans retaining the House is 1%. Current mainstream analysis suggests that the Democrats are most likely to gain 12 to 22 seats in the House of Representatives, far exceeding the 3-seat threshold needed to regain a majority. Furthermore, in the market related to "Democrats regaining the House," Predict.fun gives a 96% probability.