比特币橙子Trader|Nov 03, 2026 03:43
If Trump loses both houses of Congress, US stocks could experience an epic rebound! The historical success rate is an astonishing 100%!
The US midterm elections could be a significant catalyst for the next surge in US stocks.
Historically, such political situations have been a strong signal for US stocks.
Since 1954, a similar situation has only occurred seven times, and the S&P 500 has risen in the following 3, 6, and 12 months in all of them—a 100% success rate!
Specific performance:
1 month: Average increase of 2.1%, 6/7 times (closed higher)
3 months: Average increase of 10.7%, 7/7 times (closed higher)
6 months: Average increase of 17.5%, 7/7 times (closed higher)
12 months: Average increase of 15.5%, 7/7 times (closed higher)
A divided Congress could limit the implementation of radical policies and reduce some policy uncertainty.
After the election results are in, the market can refocus its attention on fundamental factors such as corporate earnings, interest rates, and AI investment.
If history repeats itself, Trump's political setbacks could become a celebration on Wall Street.
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