[72% Probability of Fed Rate Hike in December] According to CME's "FedWatch" on November 2nd, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in December is 28%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 72%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged until January next year is 19.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 58.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 22.3%.