小龙先生|Oct 29, 2026 12:57
《Three-Dimensional Trading System | BTC Evening Market Analysis (3/3): Structural Pattern and Core Judgment》
80K is a psychological support level, while 78K-79K is the true technical support.
BTC is fluctuating between 79,800 and 81,700. A break below 78K could trigger a new wave of pullback. The 81,500-81,750 range is short-term resistance; a break above this level is needed to target 82,500.
International Situation: Fed's "Hawkish Pause," US Treasury Yields Rise Instead of Fall.
The Fed held rates steady in October. Warsh's assessment of a "wait-and-see pause" has raised market expectations for a December rate hike to nearly 80%.
The 10-year US Treasury yield rose to 5.04%, while the 30-year yield remained at 5.35%. Brent crude closed at $115.32, up 1.26%.
The hawkish pause combined with high oil prices means that macroeconomic pressures have not been relieved.
Key Assessment:
ETFs saw inflows over three days, and selling pressure from whales has weakened, easing short-term downward pressure. However, even the positive news of no interest rate hikes hasn't been enough to drive prices up; bullish momentum is waning, and the price is expected to consolidate within a narrow range, with a gradual decline likely. A rebound is possible around the 77K level.
The market is becoming rather dull and erratic. Observe more and act less.
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