子棋(重生版)
子棋(重生版)|Oct 28, 2026 13:31
It's really weak. I feel like there's no point in having any hope for bitcoin:native this time! Compared to the Nasdaq 4K chart, it's clearly risen less and is less resilient to drops. A slight dip in the Nasdaq caused BTC to plummet, and now the Nasdaq is approaching the key resistance level around 30,000. If it can't hold, at the current pace, won't BTC fall below 79,000? It's definitely very weak right now! Tonight's Fed meeting has already fully priced in the expectation of a pause in rate hikes, so maintaining the interest rate itself isn't a major positive. What truly determines the price movement is the Fed's attitude towards a December rate hike. Currently, inflation remains high, and employment shows signs of slowing. The Fed has reason to wait and see, but there's no sufficient reason to announce the end of the tightening cycle. It's especially important to note that the market still has high expectations for another rate hike in December. If the Chairman's speech is more hawkish than the market expects, even if there's no rate hike tonight, the Nasdaq and BTC will still fall. Conversely, if the rhetoric is mild, this round of market activity may continue for some time. In short, the expectation of no interest rate hike has already been fully priced in, so caution is advised!
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