Buy on expectations, sell on facts. At 2 AM, the probability of the Fed not raising interest rates in October was 99%. I plan to close this BTC long position before 2 AM. Why am I not optimistic about the subsequent market trend? (1) Bitcoin's trading volume and momentum are decreasing, and the bulls are not showing strong momentum. (2) The two major obstacles in the market remain high: oil prices at $111 and the 10-year US Treasury yield at 5%. Short-term rebounds cannot mask the underlying core problems.