《Three-Dimensional Trading System | BTC Evening Market Analysis (3/3): Structural Pattern and Core Judgment》 ---Insufficient momentum, decreasing volume, avoid chasing highs; the main driver is the lack of interest rate hikes. BTC price remains within a daily downtrend channel, currently approaching the upper boundary of the channel, around 84K. However, bullish volume is not very strong. We need to observe the strength of volume after the interest rate hike decision to determine whether the price can rebound to around 84K. International Situation: Oil prices are falling, but geopolitical risks have not disappeared. Brent closed at $109.74, WTI tested the $100 mark, and diplomatic negotiations have suppressed oil prices. However, the WSJ reported that the US has asked Gulf states to prepare for short-term high-intensity action against Iran, and the possibility of action after the election remains high. Core Judgment: The FOMC meeting will be held at 2 AM tomorrow, with a 90% probability of no interest rate hike. Warsh's wording will determine the short-term direction. On the daily chart, decreasing trading volume and a divergence between price and volume pose a significant risk. Even without interest rate hikes, Bitcoin's current movement is merely a rebound within a downtrend, lacking momentum and with limited upside potential, likely reaching a maximum of around 84K. Once the rebound ends, a further decline to test lower levels is highly probable. Pay close attention to trading rhythm.