Hupzy (Spot On Chain)|10月 27, 2026 22:54
The 3-month rolling correlation between Apple and the Nasdaq 100 has dropped to -𝟬.𝟭𝟮, the first negative reading in data going back to the early 1980s. Over this period AAPL gained +𝟵.𝟳% while the Nasdaq 100 rose just +0.2%.
The correlation was +0.90 as recently as June 2025, and from 2006 through 2025 it never fell below +0.30. The decoupling means Apple is now moving independently of the broader tech sector — a structural shift in index composition dynamics.
𝗛𝘂𝗽𝘇𝘆 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲: With AAPL as a top-weighted Mag 7 component driving the SP500 index perp on Hyperliquid, this unprecedented divergence creates a mixed setup: single-stock strength masking broad-tech weakness. Index direction is increasingly dependent on whether AAPL alone can carry the weight. The negative correlation also signals risk-on/risk-off fragmentation within tech, a sentiment dynamic that historically spills into BTC and other risk assets.
source: KobeissiLetter
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