BITWU.ETH 🔆
BITWU.ETH 🔆|Oct 27, 2026 03:39
A random walk model simulated 10,000 future paths for Bitcoin, projecting a median price of $1.48 million in 2034! Willy Woo used a model to simulate Bitcoin's future price movement, primarily considering the "decreasing rate of return with size." He believes the reasonable range is between the 28th and 50th percentiles, corresponding to a peak of approximately $241,000 to $413,000 in 2028. Previously, Sminston With shared another Monte Carlo simulation extending Bitcoin's trajectory to 2034, running 5,000 times. The results showed that no simulated price fell below the current level of approximately $80,000; the median result was approximately $1.48 million, with even the lowest 5% result reaching approximately $464,000. However, please note two points: 1️⃣ This is merely a simulation and backtesting performance, not a prediction; 2️⃣ Random walks only consider historical fluctuations, ignoring short-term variables such as FOMC data and ETF fund flows. Long-term analysis focuses on price paths, while short-term analysis focuses on key levels. Predictions based on previous data still have some reference value. Currently, BTC is still around $80,000; let's see how it fares after this week's FOMC meeting. Where do you think the peak will be in 2028?
+6
Mentioned
Share To

Timeline

HotFlash

APP

X

Telegram

Facebook

Reddit

CopyLink

Hot Reads