MORGAN STANLEY WARNS OF BRAZIL MARKET SELLOFF Morgan Stanley forecasts a 20%–30% drop in Brazilian equities following Lula's election victory. The bank sees USD/BRL reaching 5.60, potentially 6.00 if fiscal concerns worsen, alongside 300–400 bps of pressure on interbank rates. The key takeaway: Rising fiscal risks threaten Brazil's currency, bonds and equities. Related tickers: EWZ, PBR, VALE(彭博社)