小龙先生|Oct 25, 2026 21:38
Where will the pullback price of Bitcoin after the bull market reversal go?
Based on four dimensions—the strength of bullish and bearish momentum, on-chain data, structural patterns and price-volume relationships, and macroeconomic fundamentals—I have deduced the target price for the pullback after the start of the BTC bull market as follows:
First target price: 77K, the extreme bottom of a quadruple resonance. The probability of holding this level is approximately 50%-55%. This is above the 0.618 level of the daily Fibonacci retracement chart below.
Second target price: If 77K fails to hold, the second target is 73K, with a probability of approximately 40%-45%.
This is above the 0.5 level of the daily Fibonacci retracement chart below. This requires two conditions: the FOMC in December releasing a hawkish signal that "interest rate hikes will continue in 2027," and ETFs shifting from single-day outflows to sustained outflows over multiple days.
The third target price represents the most extreme pullback level. Under a major negative event, BTC would likely retrace to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level on the daily chart, around $69,300, and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level on the weekly chart, around $70,000.
So, what will Bitcoin's price action be like this week? Please see Figure 3. For detailed analysis and predictions, please refer to the pinned weekly market report article below
"BTC Weekly Market Report | The Same Mountain That's Crushing US Stocks and Bitcoin ❗️"
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