The probability of Polymarket's' next Fable model to be released by the end of October 'drops to 38%, with a 30% drop in 24 hours PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's "next Fable model to be released by the end of October" has dropped to 38%, a 30% drop in 24 hours. As long as Anthropic officially opens a model with a name containing "Fable" and a version number of 5.2 or above to the public before the end of October, the market will settle as Yes; Otherwise it is No. Specifically: - Must have Fable in the name - Version must be 5.2 or higher - Claude Fable 5.2, Claude Fable 5.3, Claude Fable 6 are all counted - Claude Fable 5.1 is not counted - Claude Mythos 5.2 is also not counted because there is no Fable in the name - Must have been actually made available for public use - Open Beta, open candidate list can be counted - Closed testing, private testing, internal access are not counted - Official website only shows placeholder text and error tags, but the model is not actually open, nor is it counted - Mainly based on Anthropic official information, and will also refer to trusted media reports to add PPP signal push communities, one step ahead, master. Take the initiative.