Aaron Dishner|Oct 22, 2026 03:00
Bitcoin's macro uptrend is why I'm still looking higher, even when short-term reversal warnings look uncomfortable. BTC has held above the daily TBO cloud, the slow line is curling up, and on-balance volume has crossed bullishly; I see room to test 87,000 and beyond. My bias is bullish, not blind: OTHERS market cap is approaching a historical rejection zone starting around 280 billion, so I want to take profits into strength rather than assume every rally keeps going.
Ethereum's bullish on-balance-volume cross and RSI reset are encouraging, but it's still below the cloud. I need Bitcoin dominance to weaken before I get excited about a broader altcoin rotation; falling stablecoin dominance is already a constructive sign. I'm watching OTHERS dominance for a break above resistance, while respecting its TBO reversal warnings. DXY repeatedly probing its cloud also matters: a move inside would support my weaker-dollar outlook, with USDJPY and S&P Futures part of that broader risk-on picture.
Curve is a clear test of patience: I want a close above TBO resistance, not just an overbought push into it. Zcash has reclaimed its cloud, while Injective remains bullish despite the chop. I'm treating Venice's close-long signals as reminders to reduce risk into rebounds, not promises of an immediate collapse. Galaxy Digital's bounce toward lost support is a very different setup from a confirmed recovery, and Solana still needs to reclaim and hold above its cloud. My edge is respecting the macro trend without ignoring position size or taking profits.
CHAPTER MARKERS
00:00 Bitcoin: Macro Bullish Trend Points Higher
03:27 OTHERS Dominance: Resistance Test Versus Reversal Warnings
07:56 DXY: A Weaker Dollar Could Support Risk Assets
10:25 Gold: TBO Support and the Bounce Test
14:51 Curve: The Resistance Close I Need to See
20:04 Venice: Bullish Trend and Take-Profit Warnings
23:36 Injective: Bullish Trend Despite the Chop
27:39 AIOZ and Club Picks: Bullish Macro Trend Versus Consolidation
32:27 Galaxy Digital: A Bounce Into Lost Support
36:12 YouTube Picks: Bearish Consolidation and Counter-Trend Rallies
39:49 Solana: Cloud Resistance Still Needs Reclaiming
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