飞凡|10月 22, 2026 00:29
If this cycle had a script, I’d lean towards the following rhythm:
Phase 1: The bull market ends in 2025, with institutions holding a large amount of BTC.
Phase 2: Deep correction in the first half of 2026, completing chip redistribution.
Phase 3: The current scenario of market consolidation unfolds:
- Selling pressure from long-term holders fades, and the ETF cost zone provides support.
- Institutional buying resumes, and short covering pushes prices through the trapped zone.
Then comes Phase 4: The early bull market, entering a new upward cycle driven primarily by institutional demand and asset reallocation.
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