[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in October is 83.9%] According to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in October is 83.9%, with a 16.1% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by December is 9.9%, with a 76.0% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike and a 14.2% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike.