小龙先生
小龙先生|Oct 21, 2026 14:08
Gold prices keep dropping, but more and more people are buying. Why is that? Recently, Indians have been going crazy buying up large amounts of gold, and the Chinese central bank has been purchasing tons and tons of it. It feels like the lower the gold price goes, the more enthusiastic people are about buying. It’s really a tale of two extremes! So, what’s the reason and the truth behind this? Let’s break it down: the people selling gold and the people buying gold are not the same group. The sellers are traders. With the Fed’s rate hike expectations heating up, September’s CPI climbing to 3.7%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surging to 5.3%, gold is taking a hit. Gold doesn’t yield interest, so the higher the interest rates, the greater the opportunity cost of holding it. That’s why futures bulls are retreating, and short-term ETF funds are dumping gold. These are the people driving gold prices. Got it? Wall Street is the one holding the pricing power for gold. On the other hand, the buyers are people like Indian consumers and long-term allocators like the Chinese central bank. The Chinese central bank has increased its gold reserves for 23 consecutive months, adding 23 tons in September alone—the largest single-month purchase in this gold-buying cycle. Globally, central banks have been net buyers of 1,000 tons of gold annually over the past four years, and 89% of central banks say they plan to keep buying in the next year. They’re not concerned about next month’s gold price fluctuations; they care about having reserve assets that can’t be frozen or defaulted on. Meanwhile, Indians are buying. In September, as gold prices fell, Indian gold ETFs saw a net inflow surge of 71%, reaching 445 billion rupees. The physical demand from India’s Diwali and wedding season is providing a floor. Those who can’t afford big jewelry pieces are turning to gold coins and bars instead. So, gold prices are falling because fast money is setting the price. But buying is increasing because slow money is allocating. Two forces moving in opposite directions. Short-term prices are dictated by traders, while long-term floors are set by central banks. What you’re seeing—‘the more it drops, the more people buy’—isn’t an illusion. It’s two completely different groups doing two completely different things.
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