On the US stock market side, options only offer a volatility of about 0.8% the day after the election. Hartnett shouted 'The Democratic Party swept the US stock market down 10%+' in early September. At that time, only 23% of fund managers bet on the Democratic Party sweeping. Nowadays, it is predicted that there is a 2/3 probability that the Democratic Party will sweep the market. Current odds: --Democratic sweep: basically included, boots landing is actually reducing uncertainty --Democratic and Republican divide: 27% --Republican sweep: 9% of the tail is the card that hasn't been priced yet The volatility of mid-term election odds will increase from around the election day on November 3rd to before the results on November 5th, and the volatility of the Crypto market will also increase accordingly. If, I mean, if the Republican Party can keep the Senate, there may be a wave of repricing induced recovery in the market, but the sustainability will not be too strong, after all, it is approaching the end of the year, and the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates again in December