[Probability of the Federal Reserve Keeping Interest Rates Unchanged in October is 83.9%] According to Golden Finance on October 21, based on CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 83.9%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 16.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged by December is 9.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 76.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 14.2%.