BITWU.ETH 🔆|10月 20, 2026 12:52
Netflix, this one I’m betting NO.
Clearly, the odds for NO are more reasonable. First, NO only requires the actual probability of a drop to exceed 27% for it to have positive expected value in the long run. On the other hand, YES needs the probability of a rise to exceed 74%.
Secondly, Netflix’s fundamentals are clearly under pressure. I just looked it up—Netflix is projecting about 12% revenue growth for Q3, but user engagement is slowing, content competition is intensifying, and the market still has doubts about the quality of growth.
Also, after the first three earnings reports in 2026, the stock price dropped by about 2.2%, 9.7%, and 7.3%, respectively. So this time, I feel like it’s hard to escape this year’s pattern.
PS: OKX’s Outcome prediction event is a battle royale mode. Earn some points and give it a shot—if you keep winning, the final prize is 1wu!
I feel pretty confident about this one. What do you think? @Mercy_okx @Haiteng_okx
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