[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in October is 82.8%] According to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in October is 82.8%, with a 17.2% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged by December is 6.4%, with a 77.8% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike and a 15.8% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike.