小龙先生
小龙先生|10月 18, 2026 11:11
A strange phenomenon worth your attention: U.S. stocks are bleeding, but Bitcoin is quietly 'changing hands.' The Nasdaq and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index have both dropped for 8 consecutive days, marking the longest losing streak since 2008. Tech stock valuations are being slashed bit by bit by high interest rates. But on the $BTC side, the MVRV has dropped to 25.7%, entering a 'transitional accumulation phase.' Historically, Bitcoin has only been cheaper than it is now 25% of the time. While U.S. stocks are killing valuations, Bitcoin is shifting chips between 'weak hands' and 'strong hands.' Specifically, here’s what’s happening with $BTC right now—three groups of people are doing three different things: 1️⃣ First group: Retail investors and short-term holders are panic selling. They can’t handle the macro headwinds and are dumping around the $8K level in fear. 2️⃣ Second group: ETF institutions are pulling out. Since October, over $600M has flowed out, with BlackRock and Fidelity leading the charge. Wall Street’s passive money is retreating. ETF institutions are essentially 'big retail investors.' 3️⃣ Third group: Whales are accumulating at the bottom. Whale holdings have risen to 3.03M BTC, the highest since November 2025, with the fastest accumulation rate since February this year. On the order books, buy orders far outweigh sell orders. Retail is selling, ETFs are retreating, and whales are buying. The chips are moving from 'weak hands' (panicked retail, passive ETFs) to 'strong hands' (whales, long-term holders). The 'blood transfusion' is underway, and $BTC is holding strong above $8K. But a blood transfusion doesn’t mean an immediate pump—it could even mean further corrections. What it does mean is that the foundational chip structure of the bull market is becoming healthier. Chips are changing hands, prices are bottoming out. You’re watching the candlesticks, I’m watching who’s buying.
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