wu fan|Oct 18, 2026 07:41
U.S. interest rate cuts
U.S. stocks rise early
Mainland A-shares and Hong Kong stocks lag behind
On the flip side, when the U.S. raises interest rates,
Mainland A-shares and Hong Kong stocks drop first, while U.S. stocks lag behind
So here's what it looks like:
In September 2024, the U.S. officially cuts interest rates,
Mainland A-shares start to rise,
But U.S. stocks have already been rising for over a year,
Because U.S. stocks start climbing as soon as there's an expectation of rate cuts.
By September 2026, when the expectation of U.S. interest rate hikes begins,
The A-share bull market ends and starts to decline,
While U.S. stocks are just beginning to fluctuate.
The timing aligns perfectly:
U.S. rate cuts trigger an A-share bull market,
U.S. rate hikes trigger an A-share bear market.
Source: https://web.timestore.vip/ /time/pages/timeDetail/index?timeid=177139
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